WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

San Antonio Stars	78		Excitement	7.9 [31]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +44.3%
Seattle Storm	79		Comeback	16.3 [12]		LVP	Kelsey Plum (SAN): -17.4%

San Antonio Stars
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla McBride	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.26,0.26	0.10	0.15	0.00	14	64%	0.36	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.24	0.05	0.17	-0.01	12	48%	0.26	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Dearica Hamby	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	13	73%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Alexander	0.04	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nia Coffey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Colson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shay Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sequoia Holmes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Montgomery	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelsey Plum	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	0.01	-0.10	0.08	10	65%	0.09	6	-0.26	3	100%	0.02

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.17,0.11,0.3,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.11	0.29	-0.04	19	49%	0.48	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.07
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	12	64%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.18	0.01	4	60%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.07
Sue Bird	0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	0.00	8	50%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAN	SEA	WNBA	SAN	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.4	15.2	15.1	104.0	102.6	100.8
season	16.3	14.8		94.2	103.3
opponent	15.8	14.3		104.1	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAN	14.1	17.8	15.6	18.6	16.4
SEA	15.2	17.5	16.0	12.3	15.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SAN	2%	81%	13%	4.8%	100.0%	57.8%	43.7%	33.3%
SEA	0%	82%	18%	0.0%	0.0%	49.1%	54.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

San Antonio Stars
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	9	72%	5	50%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	1	100%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	11	77%	1	100%	1	0%
Kayla Alexander	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sequoia Holmes	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Montgomery	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	1	100%	8	62%	0	0%	1	0%
Stars	1	100%	51	58%	8	44%	3	33%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	15	37%	4	62%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	70%	2	50%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	12	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	7	43%	1	100%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Alexis Peterson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	56	49%	12	54%	0	0%