WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	115		Excitement	10.6 [4]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +86.3%
Chicago Sky	106		Comeback	4.2 [82]		LVP	Kahleah Copper (CHI): -9.9%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.86	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.86	0.23	0.60	-0.03	24	60%	0.93	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Candace Parker	0.22	0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.01	22	60%	0.30	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Chelsea Gray	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	-0.01	-0.02	17	56%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Jantel Lavender	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	0.00	6	43%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Odyssey Sims	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	17	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alana Beard	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	7	19%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.05	0.26	-0.04	15	60%	0.52	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.16	0.01	13	85%	0.41	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.22	0.01	12	64%	0.40	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	-0.02	0.05	17	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Jordan Hooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amber Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bashaara Graves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.11	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.04
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	CHI	WNBA	LAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.1	113.9	109.3	100.8
season	15.7	14.5		102.1	98.3
opponent	14.8	14.8		104.9	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	15.1	17.1	15.0	16.7	16.0
CHI	10.5	16.3	16.7	14.0	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	11%	55%	28%	6.1%	18.2%	59.3%	53.6%	33.3%
CHI	7%	60%	28%	4.9%	108.3%	60.2%	41.3%	62.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	2	50%	8	56%	12	54%	2	100%
Candace Parker	1	0%	14	61%	5	80%	2	0%
Chelsea Gray	3	33%	10	80%	3	0%	1	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	80%	1	100%	0	0%
Essence Carson	1	0%	3	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	2	0%	10	60%	4	37%	1	0%
Alana Beard	2	0%	4	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Sparks	11	18%	54	59%	28	54%	6	33%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Stefanie Dolson	1	100%	10	50%	3	50%	1	150%
Courtney Vandersloot	1	150%	6	67%	6	92%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	1	100%	5	90%	5	30%	1	100%
Allie Quigley	2	150%	11	64%	3	0%	1	0%
Jordan Hooper	1	0%	3	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Amber Harris	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bashaara Graves	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	4	75%	5	20%	1	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	6	108%	49	60%	23	41%	4	62%