WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	61		Excitement	8.9 [11]		MVP	Crystal Langhorne (SEA): +61.2%
Seattle Storm	62		Comeback	5.6 [24]		LVP	Plenette Pierson (MIN): -28.9%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natasha Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	7	47%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Seimone Augustus	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alexis Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maya Moore	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.09,0.21,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	42%	0.07	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Jia Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Sylvia Fowles	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	0.01	-0.14	0.00	15	41%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Plenette Pierson	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	0.00	11	32%	-0.10	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.61	0.61	0.15	0.46	0.00	9	78%	0.61	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	6	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Alexis Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	17	47%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	WNBA	MIN	SEA	WNBA
this game	17.0	16.8	15.1	85.9	87.3	100.8
season	15.0	14.8		104.1	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		104.1	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.8	17.4	16.2	17.7	17.0
SEA	14.8	15.9	19.1	17.6	16.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	65%	28%	6.9%	0.0%	39.4%	32.5%	20.0%
SEA	0%	68%	29%	3.4%	0.0%	52.5%	38.2%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	2	0%	5	60%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	5	70%	4	25%	1	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	9	28%	4	62%	3	33%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	12	50%	2	0%	1	0%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	7	50%	4	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	47	39%	20	32%	5	20%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	5	80%	3	67%	1	100%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	33%	3	50%	0	0%
Alexis Peterson	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	8	62%	3	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	50%	6	50%	1	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	40	52%	17	38%	2	50%