WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	76		Excitement	7.4 [54]		MVP	Kiah Stokes (NYL): +24.6%
New York Liberty	81		Comeback	1.8 [153]		LVP	Briann January (IND): -11.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.2	0.38	-0.09	0.08	18	87%	0.28	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Erica McCall	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	3	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marissa Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jennifer Hamson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.01,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Jazmon Gwathmey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Erlana Larkins	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	-0.12	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.13	0.02	6	86%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	0.00	7	37%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tina Charles	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02	0.02	0.13	-0.09	0.02	17	60%	0.23	4	-0.20	9	100%	0.06
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.12	3	-0.14	11	91%	0.05
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	14	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYL	WNBA	IND	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.6	14.7	15.1	96.2	102.5	100.8
season	15.8	14.7		95.9	100.5
opponent	15.8	15.0		96.8	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	16.9	14.9	15.0	15.6
NYL	12.8	14.7	17.6	14.2	14.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	3%	69%	25%	3.1%	150.0%	50.0%	31.2%	0.0%
NYL	0%	78%	19%	2.9%	0.0%	42.6%	23.1%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	2	150%	14	89%	1	0%	1	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Hamson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	6	67%	5	20%	1	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	3	33%	4	50%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	7	14%	2	50%	0	0%
Fever	2	150%	45	50%	16	31%	2	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	4	75%	2	100%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	1	100%
Tina Charles	0	0%	16	53%	1	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	6	50%	4	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	10	45%	3	33%	1	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	6	17%	2	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	54	43%	13	23%	2	50%