WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	82		Excitement	10.5 [6]		MVP	Maya Moore (MIN): +66.0%
Indiana Fever	84		Comeback	5.6 [20]		LVP	Marissa Coleman (IND): -23.4%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0.66	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.52,0.66	0.11	0.56	0.01	18	61%	0.82	5	-0.16	10	100%	0.25
Seimone Augustus	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	12	59%	0.37	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Plenette Pierson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Rebekkah Brunson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.21	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Natasha Howard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jia Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	8	37%	-0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.46,0.4,0.6	0.60	0.25	0.34	-0.01	21	72%	0.73	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.59	0.59	0.08	0.51	0.00	3	100%	0.69	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Briann January	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.4	0.40	-0.02	0.25	-0.17	11	52%	0.38	4	0.01	5	80%	0.12
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	45%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jennifer Hamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Erica Wheeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	13	35%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	8	42%	0.04	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.03
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.20	0.00	1	0%	-0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	WNBA	MIN	IND	WNBA
this game	14.2	14.4	15.1	97.6	100.0	100.8
season	15.0	15.8		104.1	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.3		107.0	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	11.9	15.7	16.1	13.2	14.2
IND	17.2	12.9	13.9	13.5	14.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	70%	26%	4.3%	0.0%	43.9%	38.9%	83.3%
IND	0%	70%	24%	5.7%	0.0%	48.0%	55.9%	75.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	0	0%	14	50%	3	33%	1	100%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	7	57%	3	33%	2	75%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	8	25%	5	80%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Alexis Jones	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	3	67%	5	20%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	49	44%	18	39%	3	83%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	13	62%	7	86%	1	100%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	1	100%
Briann January	0	0%	8	37%	2	50%	1	100%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	6	42%	3	50%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Hamson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	10	45%	3	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	7	36%	1	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	49	48%	17	56%	4	75%