WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	80		Excitement	8.7 [17]		MVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): +34.1%
Washington Mystics	85		Comeback	1.4 [139]		LVP	Camille Little (PHO): -20.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Angel Robinson	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.15	0.08	0.00	7	82%	0.25	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Yvonne Turner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	12	62%	0.33	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.00	9	64%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Emma Cannon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	6	47%	0.09	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Danielle Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Leilani Mitchell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Diana Taurasi	-0.01	0,0,0,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.18,0.18,-0.01	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	16	46%	0.12	1	-0.14	3	100%	0.04
Cayla George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.34	0.34	0.12	0.24	0.02	12	69%	0.45	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.05
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.10	-0.01	8	62%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	14	55%	0.21	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.04
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.24	2	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Asia Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allison Hightower	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.00	7	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	5	15%	-0.18	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.14

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	WAS	WNBA	PHO	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.0	17.6	15.1	105.3	111.8	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		103.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.4	14.5	13.8	13.2	14.0
WAS	15.5	18.8	18.5	17.6	17.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	2%	68%	29%	1.5%	0.0%	50.0%	55.3%	0.0%
WAS	0%	72%	24%	4.2%	0.0%	44.1%	67.6%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	5	110%	2	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	7	50%	5	80%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	8	69%	1	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	1	0%	11	36%	3	83%	1	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	6	17%	2	50%	0	0%
Mercury	1	0%	45	50%	19	55%	1	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	9	56%	2	125%	1	100%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	50%	5	70%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	12	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	8	37%	3	117%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	7	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	3	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Allison Hightower	0	0%	2	100%	3	33%	2	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	51	44%	17	68%	3	33%