WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	80		Excitement	9.5 [8]		MVP	Kelsey Plum (SAN): +34.1%
San Antonio Stars	87		Comeback	3.9 [60]		LVP	Sue Bird (SEA): -26.0%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31	0.22	0.09	-0.00	23	59%	0.32	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.07
Sami Whitcomb	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.13	0.00	8	61%	0.26	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jewell Loyd	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02	-0.08	0.07	-0.03	16	42%	0.22	5	-0.21	6	33%	-0.31
Alysha Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.17	-0.12	-0.02	9	20%	-0.18	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Stars
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelsey Plum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.11,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.17	-0.02	15	68%	0.48	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.01	9	71%	0.24	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.06
Alex Montgomery	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	13	50%	0.18	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Sequoia Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kayla Alexander	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erika de Souza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shay Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	9	25%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Sydney Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	16	41%	-0.01	3	-0.12	9	89%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAN	WNBA	SEA	SAN	WNBA
this game	12.8	17.8	15.1	90.9	98.9	100.8
season	14.8	16.3		103.3	94.2
opponent	14.3	15.8		103.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.1	14.2	12.9	12.0	12.8
SAN	17.8	18.2	17.1	19.0	17.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	6%	65%	25%	4.2%	50.0%	53.3%	38.9%	50.0%
SAN	1%	71%	23%	4.1%	0.0%	52.9%	32.4%	33.3%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	3	33%	16	69%	4	50%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	2	50%	6	67%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	9	50%	6	17%	1	150%
Alysha Clark	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	1	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	7	14%	1	0%	1	0%
Storm	4	50%	46	53%	18	39%	3	50%

San Antonio Stars
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	11	64%	3	50%	1	100%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	7	86%	2	50%	0	0%
Alex Montgomery	0	0%	8	62%	5	20%	0	0%
Sequoia Holmes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Alexander	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	1	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	6	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Sydney Colson	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	1	0%	10	45%	4	0%	1	0%
Stars	1	0%	52	53%	17	32%	3	33%