WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	86		Excitement	7.3 [56]		MVP	Courtney Vandersloot (CHI): +38.4%
Chicago Sky	91		Comeback	12.3 [14]		LVP	Layshia Clarendon (ATL): -19.7%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damiris Dantas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	5	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Imani Boyette	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	53%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bria Holmes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.02	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tamera Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	12	38%	0.07	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Brittney Sykes	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.02,-0.04	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	16	41%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	12	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.00	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	11	36%	-0.02	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.36	0.07	0.05	11	96%	0.38	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.00	14	55%	0.37	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.07
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	10	71%	0.29	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kahleah Copper	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Amber Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bashaara Graves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	WNBA	ATL	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.1	104.9	109.6	100.8
season	14.8	14.5		96.2	98.3
opponent	14.8	14.7		104.9	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.1	14.5	16.2	16.3	15.3
CHI	15.2	14.7	15.4	10.5	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	86%	12%	1.2%	100.0%	46.5%	25.0%	0.0%
CHI	0%	87%	13%	0.0%	0.0%	50.8%	61.1%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	11	36%	1	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	10	40%	5	50%	1	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	11	36%	1	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	4	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	1	100%	9	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	100%	71	46%	10	25%	1	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	10	95%	1	100%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	11	41%	3	67%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	8	56%	2	125%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	7	57%	3	0%	0	0%
Amber Harris	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Bashaara Graves	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	0	0%	59	51%	9	61%	0	0%