WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	74		Excitement	8.2 [27]		MVP	Kayla Alexander (SAN): +34.9%
San Antonio Stars	76		Comeback	3.4 [66]		LVP	Ivory Latta (WAS): -18.9%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.23	0.10	0.12	-0.01	14	64%	0.33	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.10	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Allison Hightower	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	6	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Asia Taylor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	0	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0	0.08	-0.10	-0.01	13	63%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Tianna Hawkins	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ivory Latta	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	8	25%	-0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Stars
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kayla Alexander	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.35	0.35	0.09	0.26	0.00	10	60%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.07	-0.01	13	65%	0.27	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Kelsey Plum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.08	-0.04	8	45%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Shay Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla McBride	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.05	-0.03	13	39%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Sequoia Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nia Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erika de Souza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dearica Hamby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	2	17%	-0.11	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.08
Moriah Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAN	WNBA	WAS	SAN	WNBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.1	100.0	102.7	100.8
season	15.6	16.3		103.7	94.2
opponent	14.3	15.1		103.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.0	16.8	16.4	17.5	15.5
SAN	15.8	15.6	20.0	16.9	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	64%	30%	5.8%	0.0%	47.7%	52.4%	0.0%
SAN	0%	72%	26%	1.5%	0.0%	48.9%	47.1%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	7	57%	6	83%	1	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	10	30%	3	100%	1	0%
Allison Hightower	0	0%	1	0%	5	40%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	10	70%	1	100%	2	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	33%	3	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	5	40%	3	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	44	48%	21	52%	4	0%

San Antonio Stars
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kayla Alexander	0	0%	5	60%	4	50%	1	100%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	9	67%	4	50%	0	0%
Kelsey Plum	0	0%	6	17%	2	75%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%
Kayla McBride	0	0%	10	35%	3	33%	0	0%
Sequoia Holmes	0	0%	2	125%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Montgomery	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Nia Coffey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Dearica Hamby	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Moriah Jefferson	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Stars	0	0%	47	49%	17	47%	1	100%