WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	92		Excitement	7.6 [45]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +42.9%
Connecticut Sun	93		Comeback	1.2 [166]		LVP	Cayla George (PHO): -12.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.43	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.43	0.31	0.16	0.04	18	80%	0.55	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Leilani Mitchell	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.21	0.08	0.02	7	106%	0.33	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Monique Currie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Camille Little	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.1,0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	14	43%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Yvonne Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Angel Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danielle Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cayla George	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	4	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.37	0.37	0.05	0.30	-0.02	16	46%	0.40	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.20	0.13	0.00	9	70%	0.32	0	0.00	9	100%	0.07
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.01	0.00	8	83%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.00	0.09	-0.03	12	42%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0,-0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	12	60%	0.24	6	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01
Brionna Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Pedersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	7	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	CON	WNBA	PHO	CON	WNBA
this game	14.7	13.4	15.1	107.0	109.4	100.8
season	14.8	13.8		101.4	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		99.6	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.7	15.1	15.5	13.4	14.7
CON	13.1	13.5	14.5	12.7	13.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	0%	75%	19%	5.8%	0.0%	56.7%	69.2%	50.0%
CON	0%	79%	15%	5.9%	0.0%	46.3%	75.0%	75.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	12	71%	5	90%	1	100%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	4	150%	3	50%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	8	37%	1	100%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	11	36%	2	50%	1	100%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	1	0%
Mercury	0	0%	52	57%	13	69%	4	50%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	10	10%	5	90%	1	100%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	8	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	8	81%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	10	40%	0	0%	2	50%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	9	67%	2	0%	1	100%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	6	42%	1	100%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	54	46%	10	75%	4	75%