WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	85		Excitement	8.3 [22]		MVP	Bria Hartley (NYL): +35.6%
Indiana Fever	84		Comeback	10.8 [54]		LVP	Shavonte Zellous (NYL): -22.2%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bria Hartley	0.36	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.36,0.36	0.16	0.21	0.01	8	94%	0.51	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.10	0.01	19	58%	0.34	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.02
Kiah Stokes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Epiphanny Prince	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.05	-0.02	10	41%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	1	33%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Sugar Rodgers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	9	45%	0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.05
Kia Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22	-0.02	-0.20	0.00	7	58%	-0.02	5	-0.20	5	80%	0.01

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.37,0.34	0.34	0.23	0.18	0.07	10	83%	0.34	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	4	91%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	5	67%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	3	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	0.09	-0.14	0.03	10	58%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Candice Dupree	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.02	18	39%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.22	-0.07	-0.15	0.01	8	25%	-0.14	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	IND	WNBA	NYL	IND	WNBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.1	104.9	107.7	100.8
season	14.7	15.8		100.5	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.8		107.0	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	15.0	14.9	12.9	13.9	14.2
IND	14.2	15.1	17.1	17.9	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	74%	25%	1.5%	0.0%	51.0%	40.6%	150.0%
IND	0%	68%	26%	6.1%	0.0%	62.2%	35.3%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	5	80%	2	100%	1	150%
Tina Charles	0	0%	14	61%	5	40%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	8	31%	2	50%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	6	33%	3	50%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	4	87%	3	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	48	51%	16	41%	1	150%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	8	75%	1	100%	1	100%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	3	117%	1	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	1	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	5	70%	2	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	6	83%	3	0%	1	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	10	50%	7	29%	1	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	29%	0	0%	1	0%
Fever	0	0%	45	62%	17	35%	4	25%