WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	82		Excitement	7.8 [39]		MVP	Natalie Achonwa (IND): +27.1%
Dallas Wings	84		Comeback	20.2 [15]		LVP	Erica Wheeler (IND): -29.2%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Natalie Achonwa	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	3	93%	0.29	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Erlana Larkins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.03	2	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jazmon Gwathmey	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Erica McCall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	69%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Marissa Coleman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0	0.08	-0.08	0.00	9	67%	0.12	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Briann January	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.13	8	-0.23	7	71%	-0.01
Erica Wheeler	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.29	-0.07	-0.23	-0.01	11	32%	-0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allisha Gray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.26	0.26	-0.00	0.24	-0.01	12	46%	0.31	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	6	50%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Glory Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	12	42%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aerial Powers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.00	11	68%	0.27	6	-0.22	9	89%	0.03
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saniya Chong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaela Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	WNBA	IND	DAL	WNBA
this game	13.6	16.0	15.1	101.2	103.7	100.8
season	15.8	14.8		95.9	102.7
opponent	14.4	15.0		106.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.6	14.0	13.2	14.8	13.6
DAL	14.0	14.6	19.4	16.8	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	82%	11%	7.0%	0.0%	59.6%	33.3%	25.0%
DAL	0%	82%	13%	4.4%	0.0%	42.0%	50.0%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	2	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	9	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	9	44%	1	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	8	56%	3	33%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	42%	1	0%	4	25%
Fever	0	0%	47	60%	6	33%	4	25%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	6	17%	5	60%	1	100%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	1	100%
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0	0%	4	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	9	39%	2	0%	1	100%
Aerial Powers	0	0%	6	25%	2	75%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	11	59%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Saniya Chong	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	56	42%	9	50%	3	100%