WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	75		Excitement	7.7 [42]		MVP	Maya Moore (MIN): +33.3%
Minnesota Lynx	76		Comeback	1.4 [177]		LVP	Sugar Rodgers (NYL): -46.1%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Epiphanny Prince	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.02	15	58%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.11
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.09	-0.01	20	55%	0.18	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00
Lindsay Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebecca Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.15	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amanda Zahui B	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sugar Rodgers	-0.46	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.46	-0.15	-0.33	-0.02	9	11%	-0.41	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.08	-0.05	20	63%	0.38	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	9	75%	0.27	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.26	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Jia Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Plenette Pierson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	7	0%	-0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	MIN	WNBA	NYL	MIN	WNBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.1	98.7	100.0	100.8
season	14.7	15.0		100.5	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.8		92.4	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	15.6	17.8	15.3	14.4	15.8
MIN	15.2	14.7	14.7	19.0	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	0%	77%	17%	5.7%	0.0%	46.3%	54.2%	25.0%
MIN	0%	77%	20%	2.9%	0.0%	50.0%	39.3%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	14	54%	0	0%	1	100%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	19	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	75%	4	62%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	8	31%	2	50%	0	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	4	25%	2	0%	3	0%
Liberty	0	0%	54	46%	12	54%	4	25%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	0	0%	18	69%	2	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	7	57%	2	100%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	6	67%	1	0%	1	100%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	4	50%	5	30%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	8	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	6	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Lynx	0	0%	53	50%	14	39%	2	50%