WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	91		Excitement	7.8 [37]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +48.2%
Atlanta Dream	99		Comeback	11.2 [55]		LVP	Camille Little (PHO): -18.1%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0.48	0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.22	0.28	0.02	23	57%	0.53	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Cayla George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Stephanie Talbot	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yvonne Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.08	-0.06	9	55%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Angel Robinson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	15	23%	-0.10	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.08
Camille Little	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	5	20%	-0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Sykes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	-0.10	0.34	-0.04	23	42%	0.49	6	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.13	0.01	7	80%	0.30	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Matee Ajavon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	68%	0.14	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	44%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bria Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hooper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	13	47%	0.08	1	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	ATL	WNBA	PHO	ATL	WNBA
this game	13.8	14.0	15.1	93.8	102.1	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		101.4	96.2
opponent	14.7	15.3		99.7	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	14.0	11.6	16.9	12.3	13.8
ATL	13.3	15.9	11.7	16.1	14.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	9%	68%	19%	4.9%	42.9%	48.2%	36.7%	50.0%
ATL	5%	72%	22%	1.2%	50.0%	35.6%	69.4%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	1	100%	17	50%	1	0%	4	50%
Cayla George	1	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	4	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	1	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	2	50%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	6	50%	3	50%	0	0%
Angel Robinson	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Monique Currie	2	50%	9	0%	4	50%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	2	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Mercury	7	43%	55	48%	15	37%	4	50%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Sykes	2	50%	15	20%	5	90%	1	100%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	5	60%	2	100%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	1	100%	9	56%	1	100%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	11	27%	3	67%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	1	0%	10	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Dream	4	50%	59	36%	18	69%	1	100%