WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	96		Excitement	8.6 [18]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): +49.0%
Washington Mystics	100		Comeback	22.1 [10]		LVP	Layshia Clarendon (ATL): -13.9%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0.49	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.49	0.24	0.25	-0.00	16	67%	0.49	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brittney Sykes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.21	0.05	0.02	13	69%	0.26	2	-0.03	13	92%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	8	61%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sancho Lyttle	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damiris Dantas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	5	83%	0.11	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Bria Holmes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	12	35%	0.13	5	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.16	0.20	0.02	14	62%	0.35	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Emma Meesseman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.06,-0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.31	0.31	0.07	0.25	0.01	17	50%	0.37	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	0.01	5	83%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16	0.16	0.24	0.02	0.10	23	60%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	12	38%	0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Krystal Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	64%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	7	25%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	WNBA	ATL	WAS	WNBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.1	107.9	112.4	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		96.2	103.7
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.4	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	11.7	14.4	19.7	15.2
WAS	16.0	16.8	12.9	13.7	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	8%	76%	13%	2.8%	41.7%	52.8%	44.4%	100.0%
WAS	3%	71%	21%	4.5%	133.3%	45.2%	42.1%	87.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	2	0%	12	58%	2	150%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	2	50%	9	72%	2	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	67%	1	0%	1	100%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	6	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	1	0%	8	37%	2	0%	1	100%
Dream	6	42%	54	53%	9	44%	2	100%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	11	55%	3	83%	0	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	11	45%	4	25%	2	100%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	4	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	2	150%	14	64%	5	0%	2	75%
Natasha Cloud	1	100%	9	17%	2	75%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	4	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Mystics	3	133%	63	45%	19	42%	4	87%