WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	84		Excitement	7.9 [32]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +46.5%
Phoenix Mercury	89		Comeback	11.6 [51]		LVP	Sancho Lyttle (ATL): -11.3%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Layshia Clarendon	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.07,0,0,0.2,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	-0.00	12	81%	0.49	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Bria Holmes	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.10	-0.02	9	62%	0.25	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Elizabeth Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.01	5	80%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.00	8	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0.01	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	18	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Matee Ajavon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.46	0.46	0.19	0.28	-0.00	15	67%	0.51	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.19	0.01	16	67%	0.49	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.08
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Danielle Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHO	WNBA	ATL	PHO	WNBA
this game	14.3	15.3	15.1	102.4	111.2	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		96.2	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.7		101.6	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.8	13.2	14.1	15.3	14.3
PHO	15.2	17.7	13.8	14.7	15.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	81%	18%	1.4%	0.0%	52.6%	57.7%	0.0%
PHO	0%	77%	20%	3.0%	0.0%	47.1%	50.0%	125.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	8	75%	4	87%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	6	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	16	44%	2	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	6	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	8	25%	1	100%	1	0%
Dream	0	0%	58	53%	13	58%	1	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	10	70%	4	37%	1	150%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	12	50%	3	67%	1	100%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	5	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	6	17%	2	100%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	51	47%	13	50%	2	125%