WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	83		Excitement	7.5 [47]		MVP	Shekinna Stricklen (CON): +52.9%
Seattle Storm	79		Comeback	2.6 [92]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -21.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shekinna Stricklen	0.53	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.53	0.30	0.24	0.01	11	95%	0.53	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Courtney Williams	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.06	0.00	0.04	-0.02	12	38%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lynetta Kizer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Pedersen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.13	-0.01	14	54%	0.12	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	11	43%	0.01	6	-0.22	8	62%	-0.13

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.03	5	92%	0.15	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	17	45%	0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	10	68%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.09	0.01	17	65%	0.18	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alysha Clark	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	3	33%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	SEA	WNBA	CON	SEA	WNBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.1	102.5	98.8	100.8
season	13.8	14.8		104.7	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.4		104.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	16.2	17.7	12.9	13.3	14.8
SEA	14.6	15.7	15.8	14.0	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	72%	28%	0.0%	0.0%	49.0%	52.5%	0.0%
SEA	0%	67%	29%	4.8%	0.0%	64.3%	44.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	8	94%	3	100%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	8	37%	2	75%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	10	30%	2	50%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	7	29%	3	33%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	1	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	9	72%	5	20%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	7	29%	4	50%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	51	49%	20	52%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	5	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	2	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	30%	6	67%	1	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	7	79%	2	50%	1	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	12	75%	5	40%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	42	64%	18	44%	3	0%