WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	69		Excitement	6.5 [80]		MVP	Alana Beard (LAS): +29.3%
Los Angeles Sparks	76		Comeback	18.3 [34]		LVP	Kristi Toliver (WAS): -7.9%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0.10	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.02	0.00	16	58%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Emma Meesseman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tianna Hawkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Ivory Latta	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.12	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Krystal Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tayler Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	9	28%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristi Toliver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alana Beard	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	7	93%	0.39	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	18	45%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chelsea Gray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	18	40%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Nneka Ogwumike	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.03	8	71%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Odyssey Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Riquna Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Essence Carson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAS	WNBA	WAS	LAS	WNBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.1	90.8	101.3	100.8
season	15.6	15.7		103.7	102.1
opponent	14.8	15.1		92.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.1	15.3	16.5	16.1	14.9
LAS	16.4	18.0	16.9	16.3	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	9%	64%	24%	3.0%	0.0%	48.8%	34.4%	0.0%
LAS	0%	75%	25%	0.0%	0.0%	44.1%	55.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	2	0%	12	58%	1	100%	1	0%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	3	33%	3	67%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	1	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	1	0%	7	57%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	1	0%	2	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	6	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	8	31%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	2	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	1	0%	4	25%	1	0%
Mystics	6	0%	42	49%	16	34%	2	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alana Beard	0	0%	4	75%	3	117%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	15	43%	3	33%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	12	29%	6	50%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	6	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	2	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	3	67%	1	0%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	51	44%	17	56%	0	0%