WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	91		Excitement	7.4 [51]		MVP	Jonquel Jones (CON): +36.6%
Indiana Fever	85		Comeback	1.2 [142]		LVP	Lynetta Kizer (CON): -4.5%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.37	0.27	0.14	0.04	13	88%	0.46	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Jasmine Thomas	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.33	0.12	0.22	0.01	16	58%	0.37	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.05
Shekinna Stricklen	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	4	75%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.07	-0.02	7	69%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alyssa Thomas	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	13	54%	0.17	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Rachel Banham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kayla Pedersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brionna Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lynetta Kizer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shenise Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.18	0.12	-0.01	11	81%	0.40	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.05
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	4	60%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Briann January	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.12,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.05	0.03	9	50%	0.12	1	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	15	47%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	IND	WNBA	CON	IND	WNBA
this game	14.1	15.1	15.1	112.3	102.4	100.8
season	13.8	15.8		104.7	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.4		107.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.1	13.7	15.0	13.6	14.1
IND	13.8	17.2	14.3	15.6	15.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	82%	15%	3.1%	0.0%	58.5%	60.0%	125.0%
IND	1%	76%	19%	4.1%	0.0%	50.0%	21.4%	66.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	11	100%	1	0%	1	100%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	14	54%	1	0%	1	150%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	2	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	4	50%	3	83%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	10	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brionna Jones	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	53	58%	10	60%	2	125%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	10	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	5	50%	2	0%	2	50%
Erica McCall	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	9	33%	7	29%	1	100%
Erica Wheeler	1	0%	11	59%	3	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	1	0%	56	50%	14	21%	3	67%