WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	85		Excitement	6.5 [77]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +23.0%
Seattle Storm	82		Comeback	1.3 [74]		LVP	Sami Whitcomb (SEA): -6.4%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.14	0.07	-0.01	14	69%	0.38	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Diana Taurasi	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.19	0.17	-0.02	-0.04	21	53%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Yvonne Turner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	38%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cayla George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emma Cannon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.05	-0.00	9	70%	0.26	1	-0.03	12	75%	-0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	13	59%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	14	56%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Sue Bird	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.00	13	52%	0.07	3	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	3	37%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	SEA	WNBA	PHO	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.1	15.7	15.1	111.8	109.3	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		101.4	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.3		104.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.5	13.4	17.7	18.0	16.1
SEA	12.3	20.0	15.6	15.3	15.7

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	1%	84%	14%	0.0%	0.0%	55.2%	40.0%	0.0%
SEA	0%	85%	14%	1.7%	0.0%	61.0%	25.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	1	0%	11	64%	2	100%	0	0%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	18	56%	3	0%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	6	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	6	67%	3	33%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	6	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	1	0%	58	55%	10	40%	0	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	8	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	10	60%	3	67%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	13	54%	1	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	3	83%	1	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	11	59%	2	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	0%
Storm	0	0%	50	61%	8	25%	1	0%