WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	94		Excitement	4.9 [129]		MVP	Courtney Williams (CON): +23.5%
New York Liberty	89		Comeback	1.4 [75]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -6.1%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.24	0.02	0.19	-0.02	14	50%	0.25	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.21	0.17	0.05	0.01	18	61%	0.24	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shekinna Stricklen	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.01	8	72%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jonquel Jones	0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	-0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.13	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Alex Bentley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kayla Pedersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	2	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alyssa Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	39%	-0.02	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bria Hartley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.07	-0.01	7	87%	0.24	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.08	0.09	11	69%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	-0.00	-0.02	9	72%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.03	0.03	0.10	-0.03	0.04	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.06	14	61%	0.07	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kia Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	NYL	WNBA	CON	NYL	WNBA
this game	16.6	13.6	15.1	119.0	111.2	100.8
season	13.8	14.7		104.7	100.5
opponent	15.8	15.4		96.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	18.9	15.8	14.7	17.4	16.6
NYL	14.4	13.6	13.9	12.6	13.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	10%	82%	7%	1.4%	71.4%	52.5%	70.0%	100.0%
NYL	13%	75%	8%	3.3%	68.7%	60.0%	70.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	12	42%	1	100%	1	100%
Jasmine Thomas	1	150%	16	50%	1	150%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	8	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	2	75%	11	64%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	1	100%	3	83%	0	0%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	1	100%	10	30%	2	50%	0	0%
Sun	7	71%	60	52%	5	70%	1	100%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	6	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	3	83%	6	58%	1	0%	1	100%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	9	72%	0	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	3	67%	3	50%	1	150%	1	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	1	100%	11	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	8	69%	45	60%	5	70%	2	50%