WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Dallas Wings	87		Excitement	7.9 [35]		MVP	Glory Johnson (DAL): +33.9%
Washington Mystics	83		Comeback	14.5 [4]		LVP	Natasha Cloud (WAS): -15.0%

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glory Johnson	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34	0.27	0.08	0.01	15	71%	0.34	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Theresa Plaisance	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.27,0.21	0.04	0.17	-0.00	10	55%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15	-0.03	0.17	-0.01	11	33%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.10
Allisha Gray	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.09	0.12	-0.03	-0.00	12	63%	0.17	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Saniya Chong	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Evelyn Akhator	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaela Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Kayla Thornton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.04

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.18	0.00	7	81%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tayler Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	14	60%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.07
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	11	50%	0.19	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	5	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Asia Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	WAS	WNBA	DAL	WAS	WNBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.1	114.5	110.7	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		102.7	103.7
opponent	15.1	14.4		103.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.2	16.6	16.2	18.2	16.8
WAS	13.0	14.3	17.1	16.0	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
DAL	0%	84%	15%	1.5%	0.0%	46.5%	55.0%	0.0%
WAS	0%	80%	17%	3.1%	0.0%	50.0%	45.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	15	73%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	6	33%	4	75%	0	0%
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0	0%	9	11%	2	50%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	8	62%	0	0%	0	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	9	56%	2	75%	1	0%
Saniya Chong	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Evelyn Akhator	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	57	46%	10	55%	1	0%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	4	62%	3	100%	0	0%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	13	54%	0	0%	1	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	9	33%	2	50%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	5	80%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	9	56%	2	50%	0	0%
Asia Taylor	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	5	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	1	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	2	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Mystics	0	0%	52	50%	11	45%	2	0%