WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	91		Excitement	8.8 [14]		MVP	Damiris Dantas (ATL): +33.8%
Seattle Storm	86		Comeback	1.3 [47]		LVP	Matee Ajavon (ATL): -28.5%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damiris Dantas	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34	0.18	0.16	0.00	14	65%	0.37	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Brittney Sykes	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Meighan Simmons	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Rachel Hollivay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	1	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Bria Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.02	0.05	0.03	10	54%	0.19	3	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Tiffany Hayes	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	0.02	-0.12	-0.01	11	59%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	14	31%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Matee Ajavon	-0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	7	29%	-0.13	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.01	10	60%	0.22	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.13	-0.02	0.01	15	59%	0.20	3	-0.10	16	87%	0.07
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Sami Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	3	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	14	46%	-0.02	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	WNBA	ATL	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.1	103.4	95.6	100.8
season	14.8	14.8		96.2	103.3
opponent	15.8	14.7		104.1	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	16.8	14.2	18.8	16.2
SEA	14.5	14.7	13.7	14.0	14.1

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	83%	14%	1.4%	0.0%	50.0%	60.0%	0.0%
SEA	2%	77%	17%	4.5%	0.0%	51.0%	40.9%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	11	50%	3	83%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Meighan Simmons	0	0%	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Hollivay	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	8	25%	2	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	9	72%	1	0%	1	0%
Layshia Clarendon	1	0%	13	31%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	4	50%	3	0%	0	0%
Dream	1	0%	59	50%	10	60%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	7	50%	3	83%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	1	0%	12	54%	0	0%	2	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	9	56%	1	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	75%	3	33%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	36%	2	50%	1	0%
Storm	1	0%	51	51%	11	41%	3	0%