WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	86		Excitement	8.3 [23]		MVP	Sue Bird (SEA): +31.8%
New York Liberty	94		Comeback	2.6 [88]		LVP	Crystal Langhorne (SEA): -15.2%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sue Bird	0.32	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.08	0.01	11	91%	0.35	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Breanna Stewart	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	17	59%	0.28	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
Noelle Quinn	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	-0.00	3	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ramu Tokashiki	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	7	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.29,0.2,0.2,-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	-0.04	17	46%	0.19	4	-0.21	7	100%	0.09
Carolyn Swords	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.07
Crystal Langhorne	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	4	25%	0.02	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.2,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.14	-0.02	14	52%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Sugar Rodgers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	14	55%	0.20	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.05
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	4	71%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Kiah Stokes	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.02	0.12	-0.02	8	44%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Bria Hartley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsay Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rebecca Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Charles	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.08	-0.02	19	52%	0.16	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYL	WNBA	SEA	NYL	WNBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.1	106.2	116.0	100.8
season	14.8	14.7		103.3	100.5
opponent	15.8	15.8		96.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.8	15.5	16.1	14.8	15.8
NYL	15.6	15.3	12.5	12.4	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	3%	70%	27%	0.0%	50.0%	57.1%	36.8%	0.0%
NYL	0%	69%	28%	2.7%	0.0%	48.0%	50.0%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sue Bird	0	0%	10	90%	1	100%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	13	62%	4	50%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	1	100%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	3	83%	2	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	1	0%	8	50%	8	25%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	3	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Storm	2	50%	49	57%	19	37%	0	0%

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	9	33%	4	87%	1	0%
Sugar Rodgers	0	0%	8	62%	6	17%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	2	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	1	100%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	6	58%	2	50%	0	0%
Lindsay Allen	0	0%	2	0%	2	100%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	15	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	0	0%	51	48%	21	50%	2	50%