WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	89		Excitement	8.3 [24]		MVP	Chelsea Gray (LAS): +27.8%
Phoenix Mercury	87		Comeback	2.2 [76]		LVP	Leilani Mitchell (PHO): -13.3%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.28	0.16	0.16	0.04	13	67%	0.33	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.07
Nneka Ogwumike	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.13	-0.02	8	72%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Essence Carson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	6	86%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alana Beard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	6	75%	0.20	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Sydney Wiese	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Odyssey Sims	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Candace Parker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	14	44%	0.08	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.21	0.21	0.27	-0.04	0.02	16	73%	0.25	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Brittney Griner	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.27,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.03	-0.04	14	60%	0.36	4	-0.21	7	100%	0.06
Emma Cannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	4	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Danielle Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	54%	0.10	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Camille Little	0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.07	0.00	8	63%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Yvonne Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephanie Talbot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cayla George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shay Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	7	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	4	36%	-0.05	1	-0.09	3	67%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	PHO	WNBA	LAS	PHO	WNBA
this game	16.8	14.6	15.1	117.1	113.0	100.8
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	101.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		101.6	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	18.2	17.4	16.6	15.0	16.8
PHO	15.1	15.0	13.4	15.0	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	73%	27%	0.0%	0.0%	54.7%	71.9%	0.0%
PHO	0%	62%	34%	4.6%	0.0%	57.5%	47.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	56%	5	80%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	6	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	4	100%	2	50%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	5	60%	1	150%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	3	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	10	35%	4	62%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	43	55%	16	72%	0	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	11	77%	3	83%	2	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	5	40%	9	56%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	4	100%	4	25%	0	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cayla George	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	4	62%	3	0%	0	0%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	1	0%	2	50%	1	0%
Mercury	0	0%	40	57%	22	48%	3	0%