WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	80		Excitement	7.2 [58]		MVP	Breanna Stewart (SEA): +28.9%
Indiana Fever	83		Comeback	3.0 [46]		LVP	Marissa Coleman (IND): -6.3%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Breanna Stewart	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.29	0.22	0.08	0.00	14	72%	0.35	1	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jewell Loyd	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.28,0.28	0.17	0.11	-0.01	20	54%	0.32	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Alysha Clark	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Crystal Langhorne	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	56%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Sue Bird	0.02	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	10	50%	0.16	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Ramu Tokashiki	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Noelle Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sami Whitcomb	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.08	-0.05	12	68%	0.35	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.06	0.15	-0.01	10	50%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.05	0.00	10	71%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	12	57%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shenise Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	44%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	WNBA	SEA	IND	WNBA
this game	15.4	17.5	15.1	109.6	113.7	100.8
season	14.8	15.8		103.3	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.8		107.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.3	15.6	14.3	17.4	15.4
IND	16.4	16.0	19.0	19.0	17.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	0%	69%	29%	1.7%	0.0%	62.2%	41.2%	0.0%
IND	0%	77%	23%	0.0%	0.0%	48.0%	60.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	11	73%	3	50%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	14	46%	6	50%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	6	100%	3	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	5	60%	4	37%	1	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sami Whitcomb	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	41	62%	17	41%	1	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	9	61%	3	67%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	5	30%	5	60%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	8	75%	2	50%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	9	44%	3	100%	0	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	11	45%	1	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	50	48%	15	60%	0	0%