WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Phoenix Mercury	98		Excitement	8.7 [16]		MVP	Brittney Griner (PHO): +64.9%
Indiana Fever	90		Comeback	2.4 [111]		LVP	Marissa Coleman (IND): -10.8%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brittney Griner	0.65	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65	0.31	0.34	0.00	19	79%	0.83	4	-0.18	10	80%	0.00
Leilani Mitchell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.03,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.13	0.02	10	58%	0.29	4	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00
Camille Little	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Stephanie Talbot	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Emma Cannon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danielle Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.04	6	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Diana Taurasi	-0.01	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.10	-0.07	18	40%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Yvonne Turner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shay Murphy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shenise Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.03	0.20	-0.01	8	50%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.01	13	61%	0.31	4	-0.16	12	92%	0.08
Jazmon Gwathmey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	9	54%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Briann January	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nadia Colhado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.07	0.04	16	57%	0.24	6	-0.31	10	90%	0.01
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	5	38%	-0.01	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHO	IND	WNBA	PHO	IND	WNBA
this game	14.1	15.5	15.1	105.4	100.0	100.8
season	14.8	15.8		101.4	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.3		107.0	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHO	15.1	12.9	15.7	13.7	14.1
IND	17.4	16.5	15.8	14.9	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
PHO	2%	70%	23%	6.1%	0.0%	53.3%	73.3%	25.0%
IND	12%	62%	20%	6.7%	42.9%	39.2%	62.5%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	14	71%	4	100%	1	100%
Leilani Mitchell	0	0%	3	50%	7	57%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Stephanie Talbot	0	0%	4	75%	1	150%	0	0%
Emma Cannon	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Danielle Robinson	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	1	0%
Diana Taurasi	1	0%	12	33%	3	50%	2	0%
Yvonne Turner	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mercury	1	0%	46	53%	15	73%	4	25%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shenise Johnson	2	50%	3	0%	2	50%	1	100%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	7	43%	5	60%	1	0%
Jazmon Gwathmey	0	0%	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	1	0%	8	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	2	50%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nadia Colhado	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	2	50%	10	55%	2	0%	2	50%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	5	20%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	7	43%	37	39%	12	62%	4	50%