WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	72		Excitement	7.4 [55]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (WAS): +56.2%
Washington Mystics	78		Comeback	1.6 [131]		LVP	Layshia Clarendon (ATL): -15.1%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sancho Lyttle	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.22	0.07	0.16	0.01	9	56%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Sykes	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	5	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.08
Tiffany Hayes	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.08	0.14	-0.06	0.00	19	51%	0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Brianna Kiesel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Rachel Hollivay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meighan Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elizabeth Williams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Matee Ajavon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damiris Dantas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Holmes	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.00	-0.14	0.01	14	41%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Layshia Clarendon	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	11	22%	-0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.56	0.56	0.17	0.39	0.00	14	57%	0.57	1	-0.01	12	83%	0.10
Tianna Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	9	57%	0.17	2	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Krystal Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	80%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	8	55%	0.10	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kristi Toliver	0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.11,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.06	-0.03	15	50%	0.15	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	1	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jennie Simms	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivory Latta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	10	21%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	WNBA	ATL	WAS	WNBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.1	88.9	97.5	100.8
season	14.8	15.6		96.2	103.7
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.4	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.1	14.6	12.1	14.4	14.5
WAS	15.3	16.1	15.2	14.9	15.4

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	1%	72%	22%	5.1%	100.0%	34.2%	41.2%	25.0%
WAS	3%	70%	27%	0.0%	50.0%	44.3%	32.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	7	57%	1	0%	1	100%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	1	100%	9	39%	8	50%	1	0%
Brianna Kiesel	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Hollivay	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Meighan Simmons	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	6	17%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	9	44%	4	25%	1	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	8	12%	2	50%	1	0%
Dream	1	100%	57	34%	17	41%	4	25%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	13	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	5	40%	4	50%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	2	50%	5	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Kristi Toliver	0	0%	11	55%	4	37%	0	0%
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennie Simms	0	0%	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	5	0%	5	20%	0	0%
Mystics	2	50%	44	44%	17	32%	0	0%