WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	73		Excitement	7.9 [33]		MVP	Tiffany Hayes (ATL): +39.2%
Atlanta Dream	75		Comeback	2.1 [52]		LVP	Candace Parker (LAS): -20.8%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Gray	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.17,0.35,0.27,0.34	0.15	0.17	-0.02	14	76%	0.56	6	-0.22	5	80%	0.04
Jantel Lavender	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	62%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Essence Carson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.00	0.09	-0.00	8	44%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alana Beard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Riquna Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	28%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Sydney Wiese	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Candace Parker	-0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.17	-0.07	-0.03	11	27%	-0.09	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.24	0.01	12	69%	0.47	2	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Elizabeth Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.02	0.17	-0.01	10	42%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Meighan Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bria Holmes	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	12	39%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Brittney Sykes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sancho Lyttle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.14	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Damiris Dantas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Kiesel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	11	37%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	ATL	WNBA	LAS	ATL	WNBA
this game	16.5	14.3	15.1	94.8	94.9	100.8
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	96.2
opponent	14.7	14.8		99.7	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	16.9	16.1	17.9	15.0	16.5
ATL	12.5	13.9	13.7	17.4	14.3

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	2%	73%	25%	0.0%	100.0%	35.2%	70.0%	0.0%
ATL	0%	71%	27%	1.6%	0.0%	40.0%	58.8%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	9	61%	5	100%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	5	20%	3	83%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	6	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	9	44%	2	50%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	1	100%	7	14%	3	33%	0	0%
Sparks	1	100%	44	35%	15	70%	0	0%

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	8	56%	4	75%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	6	17%	3	67%	1	100%
Meighan Simmons	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	10	40%	2	50%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	6	50%	3	67%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	3	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Brianna Kiesel	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	8	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	45	40%	17	59%	1	100%