WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	81		Excitement	8.8 [15]		MVP	Samantha Whitcomb (SEA): +60.6%
Seattle Storm	87		Comeback	8.1 [26]		LVP	Kiah Stokes (NYL): -14.5%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sugar Rodgers	0.48	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48	0.22	0.24	-0.02	15	68%	0.48	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tina Charles	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.18	0.11	0.00	-0.07	25	53%	0.26	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kia Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cierra Burdick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bria Hartley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Epiphanny Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.12	0.00	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Rebecca Allen	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavonte Zellous	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Kiah Stokes	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samantha Whitcomb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.61	0.61	0.31	0.32	0.02	8	110%	0.66	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.01	14	49%	0.28	2	-0.06	13	85%	0.14
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	1	150%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	10	41%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	SEA	WNBA	NYL	SEA	WNBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.1	103.8	111.5	100.8
season	14.7	14.8		100.5	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.8		104.1	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	15.7	17.3	14.4	16.0	15.8
SEA	14.3	12.7	17.2	15.6	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	1%	76%	22%	1.3%	0.0%	50.0%	35.3%	0.0%
SEA	0%	77%	23%	0.0%	0.0%	47.9%	60.7%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sugar Rodgers	1	0%	11	64%	3	100%	0	0%
Tina Charles	0	0%	20	52%	5	40%	0	0%
Nayo Raincock-Ekunwe	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cierra Burdick	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Epiphanny Prince	0	0%	10	60%	5	20%	1	0%
Rebecca Allen	0	0%	5	20%	1	0%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Kiah Stokes	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Liberty	1	0%	59	50%	17	35%	1	0%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Samantha Whitcomb	0	0%	2	150%	6	100%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	14	32%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	10	45%	1	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	0	0%	6	75%	2	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	6	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	47	48%	14	61%	0	0%