WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

g WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	90		Excitement	7.8 [38]		MVP	Nneka Ogwumike (LAS): +38.1%
Indiana Fever	93		Comeback	9.3 [5]		LVP	Sydney Wiese (LAS): -3.9%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nneka Ogwumike	0.38	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.24	0.14	0.00	10	77%	0.40	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.05
Chelsea Gray	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.00	11	70%	0.28	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Essence Carson	0.15	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	7	94%	0.24	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Candace Parker	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.24,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	18	47%	0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Alana Beard	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	8	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Riquna Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Jackson-Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sydney Wiese	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.13,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.20	0.01	11	86%	0.53	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	13	64%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	11	64%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	7	59%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	6	50%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shenise Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	5	43%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	IND	WNBA	LAS	IND	WNBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.1	121.6	125.7	100.8
season	15.7	15.8		102.1	95.9
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.0	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.9	15.5	16.7	16.2	15.8
IND	15.1	16.9	16.6	18.1	16.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	63%	32%	4.8%	0.0%	65.4%	62.5%	0.0%
IND	0%	73%	25%	1.5%	0.0%	54.1%	88.2%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nneka Ogwumike	0	0%	5	60%	5	80%	0	0%
Chelsea Gray	0	0%	8	56%	3	100%	0	0%
Essence Carson	0	0%	6	108%	1	0%	0	0%
Candace Parker	0	0%	9	50%	6	75%	3	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	5	100%	3	33%	0	0%
Riquna Williams	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Jackson-Jones	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sydney Wiese	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sparks	0	0%	39	65%	20	62%	3	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	9	72%	2	150%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	11	55%	2	100%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	7	57%	4	75%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	4	62%	2	100%	1	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	2	75%	2	75%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	2	0%	4	62%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	49	54%	17	88%	1	0%