WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

g WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	78		Excitement	6.6 [74]		MVP	Sylvia Fowles (MIN): +21.5%
Minnesota Lynx	80		Comeback	2.4 [173]		LVP	Lindsay Whalen (MIN): -16.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.16	-0.05	0.03	10	73%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jasmine Thomas	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Danielle Adams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynetta Kizer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	12	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	17	33%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.01	12	68%	0.36	4	-0.14	7	71%	0.01
Seimone Augustus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.08	-0.04	9	80%	0.28	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Plenette Pierson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jia Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maya Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	52%	0.09	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	5	33%	-0.08	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.10

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	MIN	WNBA	CON	MIN	WNBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.1	94.0	100.0	100.8
season	13.8	15.0		104.7	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		92.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.2	15.2	13.0	12.0	13.7
MIN	14.8	18.1	15.5	14.9	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	7%	86%	5%	1.2%	66.7%	46.4%	25.0%	0.0%
MIN	7%	88%	5%	0.0%	25.0%	58.0%	83.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	1	100%	8	75%	0	0%	1	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	14	61%	1	0%	0	0%
Danielle Adams	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	3	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	4	25%	1	100%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	1	100%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	2	50%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	1	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	1	100%	15	30%	1	0%	0	0%
Sun	6	67%	69	46%	4	25%	1	0%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	1	0%	10	70%	1	100%	0	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	9	78%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	2	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	0	0%
Maya Moore	1	0%	8	56%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	1	0%	5	40%	1	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	1	100%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	4	25%	50	58%	3	83%	0	0%