WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	89		Excitement	9.3 [9]		MVP	Seimone Augustus (MIN): +43.0%
Dallas Wings	87		Comeback	2.7 [126]		LVP	Karima Christmas-Kelly (DAL): -8.6%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Seimone Augustus	0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.43	0.10	0.31	-0.02	11	69%	0.48	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Sylvia Fowles	0.40	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.49,0.4	0.21	0.18	-0.01	15	64%	0.47	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.06
Rebekkah Brunson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.01	5	47%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Maya Moore	0.02	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.02	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	20	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Renee Montgomery	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Lindsay Whalen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	6	33%	0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Plenette Pierson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jia Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Natasha Howard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Wings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theresa Plaisance	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.00	5	70%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Paris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.14	-0.03	5	82%	0.26	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Glory Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kayla Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Allisha Gray	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.16	3	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Saniya Chong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kaela Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,-0.07	-0.07	0.09	-0.16	0.01	16	56%	0.10	3	-0.18	7	86%	-0.23
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	WNBA	MIN	DAL	WNBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.1	107.2	107.4	100.8
season	15.0	14.8		104.1	102.7
opponent	14.4	15.3		106.5	92.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	14.7	16.1	16.6	15.3
DAL	14.5	14.6	13.8	12.8	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	0%	68%	26%	6.2%	0.0%	44.3%	47.1%	50.0%
DAL	0%	66%	27%	6.5%	0.0%	51.2%	61.8%	25.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	8	50%	2	100%	1	100%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	8	62%	5	40%	2	50%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	3	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Maya Moore	0	0%	16	53%	3	0%	1	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	3	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Plenette Pierson	0	0%	3	33%	1	100%	0	0%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynx	0	0%	44	44%	17	47%	4	50%

Dallas Wings
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	2	0%	3	117%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	3	67%	2	100%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	0	0%	4	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Kayla Thornton	0	0%	3	100%	2	0%	0	0%
Allisha Gray	0	0%	9	50%	1	0%	2	50%
Saniya Chong	0	0%	1	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Kaela Davis	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	1	0%
Skylar Diggins-Smith	0	0%	10	40%	5	80%	1	0%
Karima Christmas-Kelly	0	0%	5	60%	2	0%	0	0%
Wings	0	0%	41	51%	17	62%	4	25%