WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	79		Excitement	7.5 [48]		MVP	Candice Dupree (IND): +34.5%
Indiana Fever	81		Comeback	9.8 [41]		LVP	Courtney Williams (CON): -41.7%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonquel Jones	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.15	0.09	0.01	11	70%	0.29	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Morgan Tuck	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	8	65%	0.22	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Lynetta Kizer	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	63%	0.19	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Danielle Adams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	5	90%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shekinna Stricklen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rachel Banham	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.08	0.03	-0.04	0.07	10	61%	0.10	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Williams	-0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.32,-0.42	-0.18	-0.25	-0.02	16	31%	-0.19	6	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.35	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.01	11	70%	0.39	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.08
Shenise Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.29	0.29	0.03	0.26	0.00	11	46%	0.32	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.08
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.06	0.01	3	100%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Tiffany Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.04	10	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Erica Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Erica McCall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	1	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marissa Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	5	30%	0.00	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Briann January	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	7	25%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	IND	WNBA	CON	IND	WNBA
this game	15.8	16.9	15.1	106.8	111.0	100.8
season	13.8	15.8		104.7	95.9
opponent	15.0	15.4		107.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	16.2	15.8	15.2	16.1	15.8
IND	16.2	19.5	17.3	14.7	16.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	79%	18%	3.2%	0.0%	55.1%	50.0%	0.0%
IND	0%	75%	24%	1.7%	0.0%	46.6%	35.7%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	9	67%	2	50%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	6	50%	2	75%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	4	75%	4	50%	0	0%
Danielle Adams	0	0%	4	112%	1	0%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Rachel Banham	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	9	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	0	0%	13	38%	1	0%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	49	55%	11	50%	2	0%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	8	62%	3	67%	0	0%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	8	19%	2	50%	1	100%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	3	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tiffany Mitchell	0	0%	6	75%	4	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	6	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	1	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	5	30%	0	0%	0	0%
Briann January	0	0%	3	0%	4	25%	0	0%
Fever	0	0%	44	47%	14	36%	1	100%