WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	82		Excitement	7.9 [30]		MVP	Tiffany Mitchell (IND): +32.6%
Seattle Storm	87		Comeback	1.9 [116]		LVP	Noelle Quinn (SEA): -21.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiffany Mitchell	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.21	0.11	-0.01	9	81%	0.33	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Shenise Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	-0.02	0.02	15	71%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Briann January	0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.12	0.20	-0.02	0.06	14	72%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Erica McCall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natalie Achonwa	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Erica Wheeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	13	29%	-0.10	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Erlana Larkins	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.00	8	85%	0.33	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Breanna Stewart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.01	11	60%	0.36	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Jewell Loyd	0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	-0.04	-0.02	18	64%	0.25	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.14
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	86%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Ramu Tokashiki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Alexis Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.08	0.04	2	50%	-0.02	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	WNBA	IND	SEA	WNBA
this game	16.0	14.6	15.1	105.1	110.1	100.8
season	15.8	14.8		95.9	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.0		104.1	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	17.3	16.1	15.9	16.0
SEA	13.2	18.0	13.1	14.9	14.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	4%	81%	10%	4.4%	83.3%	53.6%	21.4%	33.3%
SEA	0%	88%	10%	1.7%	0.0%	52.8%	33.3%	150.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tiffany Mitchell	1	0%	7	86%	0	0%	1	100%
Shenise Johnson	0	0%	12	87%	3	0%	0	0%
Briann January	2	125%	8	75%	2	75%	2	0%
Erica McCall	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Natalie Achonwa	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Erica Wheeler	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	12	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Fever	3	83%	55	54%	7	21%	3	33%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	6	83%	2	100%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	0	0%	9	50%	1	0%	1	150%
Jewell Loyd	0	0%	16	72%	2	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	0	0%	9	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Alexis Peterson	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Storm	0	0%	53	53%	6	33%	1	150%