WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

g WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Atlanta Dream	81		Excitement	7.7 [41]		MVP	Bria Holmes (ATL): +23.0%
Connecticut Sun	74		Comeback	1.5 [73]		LVP	Alyssa Thomas (CON): -18.5%

Atlanta Dream
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bria Holmes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.01	12	56%	0.25	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brittney Sykes	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.02	5	70%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiffany Hayes	0.17	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	11	56%	0.20	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.07
Damiris Dantas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	10	54%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Layshia Clarendon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.05	-0.07	11	50%	0.15	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Meighan Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brianna Kiesel	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elizabeth Williams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sancho Lyttle	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.08	-0.01	14	64%	0.15	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	13	48%	0.12	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.01,0	0.00	0.09	-0.09	0.00	18	52%	0.09	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	5	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonquel Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	5	37%	-0.07	4	-0.12	9	33%	-0.18

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CON	WNBA	ATL	CON	WNBA
this game	14.1	13.8	15.1	94.2	86.0	100.8
season	14.8	13.8		96.2	104.7
opponent	15.4	14.7		99.6	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.4	14.7	14.5	16.5	14.1
CON	14.7	12.0	14.1	14.3	13.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
ATL	0%	70%	30%	0.0%	0.0%	39.4%	47.5%	0.0%
CON	5%	64%	30%	1.4%	0.0%	52.1%	27.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Atlanta Dream
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Bria Holmes	0	0%	8	37%	4	75%	0	0%
Brittney Sykes	0	0%	3	33%	2	125%	0	0%
Tiffany Hayes	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Damiris Dantas	0	0%	5	40%	5	60%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	8	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Meighan Simmons	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brianna Kiesel	0	0%	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%
Elizabeth Williams	0	0%	7	57%	2	0%	0	0%
Sancho Lyttle	0	0%	4	37%	1	0%	0	0%
Dream	0	0%	47	39%	20	47%	0	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Courtney Williams	1	0%	6	117%	7	29%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	12	37%	1	150%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	1	0%	12	58%	5	30%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Alex Bentley	1	0%	2	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	1	0%	5	40%	4	25%	1	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	0	0%	5	40%	0	0%	0	0%
Sun	4	0%	47	52%	22	27%	1	0%