WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Seattle Storm	88		Excitement	5.6 [105]		MVP	Elena Delle Donne (CHI): +21.9%
Chicago Sky	92		Comeback	2.0 [174]		LVP	Sue Bird (SEA): -22.7%

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jewell Loyd	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.03	19	48%	0.14	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.05
Ramu Tokashiki	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	8	79%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Breanna Stewart	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	12	54%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Krystal Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alysha Clark	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sue Bird	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	0.07	-0.25	0.04	15	50%	-0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elena Delle Donne	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	15	58%	0.23	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.03
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.23	0.01	0.03	14	73%	0.23	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Jamierra Faulkner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	39%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jessica Breland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erika de Souza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cheyenne Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Imani Boyette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CHI	WNBA	SEA	CHI	WNBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.2	110.0	115.0	102.3
season	15.2	14.8		103.5	105.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		106.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.0	17.0	17.6	10.8	15.2
CHI	14.0	11.6	15.7	17.8	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SEA	11%	80%	8%	1.3%	75.0%	45.0%	33.3%	0.0%
CHI	10%	78%	12%	0.0%	25.0%	53.3%	44.4%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jewell Loyd	2	50%	14	36%	3	33%	0	0%
Ramu Tokashiki	2	100%	5	80%	1	0%	0	0%
Breanna Stewart	1	100%	10	45%	1	100%	0	0%
Krystal Thomas	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Alysha Clark	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kaleena Mosqueda-Lewis	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sue Bird	1	100%	12	54%	1	0%	1	0%
Storm	8	75%	60	45%	6	33%	1	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Elena Delle Donne	1	0%	10	50%	4	50%	0	0%
Tamera Young	2	100%	12	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	8	56%	2	50%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	2	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	13	38%	3	33%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	1	0%	4	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cheyenne Parker	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	1	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Sky	8	25%	61	53%	9	44%	0	0%