WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Minnesota Lynx	89		Excitement	9.5 [14]		MVP	Maya Moore (MIN): +66.3%
Connecticut Sun	93		Comeback	1665.7 [1]		LVP	Jasmine Thomas (CON): -21.2%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maya Moore	0.66	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.71,0.71,0.66	0.26	0.39	-0.01	27	61%	0.76	3	-0.10	12	92%	0.05
Janel McCarville	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keisha Hampton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jia Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renee Montgomery	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	36%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.07	0.00	5	71%	0.22	3	-0.26	4	50%	-0.09
Lindsay Whalen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	13	43%	0.04	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Rebekkah Brunson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sylvia Fowles	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.19	0.34	0.04	8	100%	0.63	4	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.04	0.29	-0.01	7	50%	0.34	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Bentley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.3	0.30	0.18	0.19	0.07	16	65%	0.36	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.09
Courtney Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.00	0.04	10	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jonquel Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Faris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	7	32%	0.03	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Alyssa Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	9	20%	-0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CON	WNBA	MIN	CON	WNBA
this game	16.1	15.5	15.2	103.5	109.4	102.3
season	15.0	14.3		106.7	101.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.6	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.9	14.3	18.9	16.1
CON	15.3	14.7	16.5	14.5	15.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
MIN	5%	67%	27%	1.3%	25.0%	39.6%	57.1%	0.0%
CON	8%	68%	22%	2.6%	83.3%	45.2%	44.1%	125.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Maya Moore	3	33%	17	38%	7	100%	0	0%
Janel McCarville	0	0%	3	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Keisha Hampton	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	6	33%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	3	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	2	100%	3	67%	0	0%
Lindsay Whalen	1	0%	9	44%	2	50%	1	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	7	43%	1	0%	0	0%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	5	20%	4	25%	0	0%
Lynx	4	25%	53	40%	21	57%	1	0%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chiney Ogwumike	1	100%	4	100%	2	100%	1	100%
Camille Little	1	0%	3	33%	2	50%	1	150%
Alex Bentley	2	150%	12	46%	2	50%	0	0%
Courtney Williams	1	100%	5	70%	4	62%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	5	60%	2	50%	0	0%
Kelly Faris	0	0%	2	75%	1	0%	0	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	6	33%	1	0%	0	0%
Alyssa Thomas	1	0%	8	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	7	14%	2	0%	0	0%
Sun	6	83%	52	45%	17	44%	2	125%