WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

New York Liberty	95		Excitement	8.3 [31]		MVP	Sugar Rodgers (NYL): +30.2%
Minnesota Lynx	92		Comeback	165.7 [4]		LVP	Seimone Augustus (MIN): -18.5%

New York Liberty
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sugar Rodgers	0.30	0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.35,0.3	0.22	0.08	-0.00	24	61%	0.46	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Kiah Stokes	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	5	64%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shavonte Zellous	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	10	68%	0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Amanda Zahui B	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.04	0.05	12	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Shoni Schimmel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rebecca Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carolyn Swords	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Swin Cash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brittany Boyd	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tanisha Wright	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	11	36%	-0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Lynx
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.08	-0.02	12	60%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Keisha Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	0.00	1	125%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.14	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Jia Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maya Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.10	0.03	20	57%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lindsay Whalen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	4	45%	0.04	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Janel McCarville	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	5	0%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Seimone Augustus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	9	40%	0.02	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYL	MIN	WNBA	NYL	MIN	WNBA
this game	14.8	13.9	15.2	101.1	97.9	102.3
season	14.7	15.0		99.9	106.7
opponent	15.3	15.3		96.8	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYL	14.4	13.2	16.5	14.5	14.8
MIN	14.2	14.1	13.5	14.8	13.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
NYL	12%	73%	11%	3.7%	40.0%	46.7%	61.1%	50.0%
MIN	10%	75%	10%	5.0%	31.2%	52.5%	37.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

New York Liberty
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sugar Rodgers	3	0%	13	81%	5	50%	3	50%
Kiah Stokes	1	0%	3	67%	1	100%	0	0%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	8	56%	2	100%	0	0%
Amanda Zahui B	1	100%	11	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Shoni Schimmel	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Rebecca Allen	3	33%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Carolyn Swords	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Swin Cash	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittany Boyd	2	100%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	0	0%	11	36%	0	0%	0	0%
Liberty	10	40%	60	47%	9	61%	3	50%

Minnesota Lynx
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	1	0%	10	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Keisha Hampton	0	0%	1	150%	0	0%	0	0%
Renee Montgomery	3	33%	5	70%	0	0%	0	0%
Jia Perkins	0	0%	7	43%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Maya Moore	3	50%	12	79%	3	0%	2	0%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	8	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Janel McCarville	0	0%	4	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Seimone Augustus	0	0%	7	29%	1	100%	1	0%
Lynx	8	31%	60	52%	8	37%	4	0%