WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	109		Excitement	15.5 [1]		MVP	Tayler Hill (WAS): +67.2%
Connecticut Sun	106		Comeback	6.5 [34]		LVP	Morgan Tuck (CON): -30.3%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayler Hill	0.67	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.03,0.07,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.3,0.43,0.67	0.07	0.63	0.03	16	51%	0.75	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.05
Bria Hartley	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34	0.11	0.23	0.00	6	72%	0.41	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Emma Meesseman	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.04	0.02	15	66%	0.28	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.17	-0.00	5	64%	0.30	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Kahleah Copper	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Stefanie Dolson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	69%	0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ivory Latta	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	6	42%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Natasha Cloud	0.00	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	0.10	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.04
Tianna Hawkins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kia Vaughn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	8	67%	0.23	6	-0.38	2	100%	0.08

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Bentley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67	0.67	0.26	0.41	-0.00	19	72%	0.74	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Chiney Ogwumike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.22	-0.00	7	75%	0.34	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelsey Bone	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	0.01	17	55%	0.34	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.10
Jasmine Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.10	-0.01	14	45%	0.35	5	-0.30	3	100%	0.06
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kelly Faris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	33%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jonquel Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Morgan Tuck	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3	-0.30	-0.01	-0.29	0.00	13	44%	-0.01	3	-0.29	1	100%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CON	WNBA	WAS	CON	WNBA
this game	17.0	14.9	15.2	104.8	102.9	102.3
season	15.6	14.3		102.0	101.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.6	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	16.1	16.2	17.1	16.5
CON	14.2	16.4	12.4	15.4	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	0%	61%	27%	11.7%	0.0%	44.7%	66.7%	44.4%
CON	0%	50%	37%	12.8%	0.0%	46.5%	59.4%	31.8%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Tayler Hill	0	0%	8	12%	4	62%	4	75%
Bria Hartley	0	0%	3	33%	2	75%	1	100%
Emma Meesseman	0	0%	11	68%	3	50%	1	0%
Tierra Ruffin-Pratt	0	0%	3	33%	2	75%	0	0%
Kahleah Copper	0	0%	3	83%	1	100%	0	0%
Stefanie Dolson	0	0%	5	60%	1	100%	0	0%
Ivory Latta	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Cloud	0	0%	4	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Tianna Hawkins	0	0%	3	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kia Vaughn	0	0%	1	100%	4	100%	3	0%
Mystics	0	0%	47	45%	21	67%	9	44%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Alex Bentley	0	0%	11	55%	6	100%	2	75%
Chiney Ogwumike	0	0%	3	33%	4	100%	0	0%
Kelsey Bone	0	0%	12	50%	4	75%	1	0%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	5	50%	5	20%	4	50%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	1	150%	2	0%	0	0%
Kelly Faris	0	0%	1	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Jonquel Jones	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Camille Little	0	0%	3	0%	2	75%	2	0%
Morgan Tuck	0	0%	6	50%	5	50%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	43	47%	32	59%	11	32%