WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Chicago Sky	80		Excitement	7.2 [63]		MVP	Diana Taurasi (PHO): +30.9%
Phoenix Mercury	86		Comeback	10.4 [27]		LVP	Tamera Young (CHI): -16.3%

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cappie Pondexter	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.11	-0.04	16	41%	0.22	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Courtney Vandersloot	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.02	7	69%	0.18	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Imani Boyette	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jessica Breland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allie Quigley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Elena Delle Donne	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.06	0.02	15	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jamierra Faulkner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Erika de Souza	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31	0.31	0.26	0.08	0.04	18	67%	0.37	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
DeWanna Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.18	-0.01	12	53%	0.32	2	-0.04	14	86%	0.12
Sonja Petrovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.03	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isabelle Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brittney Griner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Penny Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mistie Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noelle Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Candice Dupree	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	8	45%	0.00	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHO	WNBA	CHI	PHO	WNBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.2	100.0	108.9	102.3
season	14.8	14.4		105.3	104.6
opponent	15.6	14.9		104.4	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	16.4	14.5	15.9	15.3
PHO	14.0	14.4	14.8	16.5	14.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CHI	2%	79%	18%	1.5%	0.0%	53.8%	37.5%	0.0%
PHO	0%	78%	21%	1.5%	0.0%	43.4%	39.3%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cappie Pondexter	1	0%	12	33%	3	33%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	5	70%	2	50%	0	0%
Imani Boyette	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Breland	0	0%	3	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Allie Quigley	0	0%	4	87%	1	0%	0	0%
Elena Delle Donne	0	0%	13	46%	1	150%	1	0%
Jamierra Faulkner	0	0%	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	4	75%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	6	17%	3	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	0%	52	54%	12	37%	1	0%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	12	54%	6	75%	0	0%
DeWanna Bonner	0	0%	10	40%	1	0%	1	0%
Sonja Petrovic	0	0%	6	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Alex Harden	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Isabelle Harrison	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Brittney Griner	0	0%	9	22%	2	50%	0	0%
Penny Taylor	0	0%	5	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Mistie Bass	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Candice Dupree	0	0%	6	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	53	43%	14	39%	1	0%