WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Tulsa Shock	107		Excitement	7.6 [45]		MVP	Skylar Diggins (TUL): +50.7%
Indiana Fever	102		Comeback	139.8 [1]		LVP	Briann January (IND): -12.0%

Tulsa Shock
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Skylar Diggins	0.51	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.51	0.17	0.36	0.01	21	58%	0.61	5	-0.10	13	85%	-0.01
Jennifer Lacy	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	0.00	4	70%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Paris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.01	0.06	13	67%	0.13	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Glory Johnson	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.11	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Odyssey Sims	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.05	16	59%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Roneeka Hodges	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theresa Plaisance	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hooper	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	87%	0.08	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Angel Goodrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shavonte Zellous	0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.32	0.09	0.05	17	79%	0.43	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Lynetta Kizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erlana Larkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Maggie Lucas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Layshia Clarendon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Natasha Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karima Christmas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	16	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Briann January	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TUL	IND	WNBA	TUL	IND	WNBA
this game	14.3	14.5	15.5	112.6	109.7	98.3
season	15.6	16.3		102.1	97.4
opponent	15.7	15.0		98.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TUL	16.8	15.9	13.4	12.3	14.3
IND	15.6	14.8	16.0	13.8	14.5

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
TUL	1%	79%	18%	1.3%	100.0%	53.2%	53.6%	150.0%
IND	7%	77%	15%	1.4%	20.0%	53.5%	45.5%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Tulsa Shock
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Skylar Diggins	0	0%	17	47%	3	33%	1	150%
Jennifer Lacy	0	0%	2	0%	2	125%	0	0%
Courtney Paris	0	0%	11	73%	2	50%	0	0%
Glory Johnson	1	100%	13	38%	1	100%	0	0%
Odyssey Sims	0	0%	10	70%	6	33%	0	0%
Roneeka Hodges	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Theresa Plaisance	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jordan Hooper	0	0%	4	87%	0	0%	0	0%
Angel Goodrich	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Shock	1	100%	62	53%	14	54%	1	150%

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Shavonte Zellous	0	0%	12	83%	5	60%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	11	45%	0	0%	0	0%
Lynetta Kizer	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	1	0%	3	67%	0	0%	1	0%
Maggie Lucas	0	0%	4	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Natasha Howard	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Karima Christmas	3	33%	11	45%	2	0%	0	0%
Briann January	1	0%	5	50%	3	33%	0	0%
Fever	5	20%	57	54%	11	45%	1	0%