WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Indiana Fever	80		Excitement	12.8 [1]		MVP	Iziane Castro Marques (CON): +62.7%
Connecticut Sun	82		Comeback	4.3 [24]		LVP	Layshia Clarendon (IND): -16.9%

Indiana Fever
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Katie Douglas	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.55	0.02	0.52	-0.00	14	45%	0.59	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.08
Jeanette Pohlen	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.13	0.27	-0.02	7	75%	0.43	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Erlana Larkins	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.22,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35	0.10	0.26	0.01	8	52%	0.35	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.23
Erin Phillips	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jasmine Hassell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	35%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Karima Christmas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.09	-0.18	0.01	19	50%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Layshia Clarendon	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	12	38%	-0.02	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.05

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iziane Castro Marques	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.63	0.63	0.12	0.52	0.01	14	54%	0.66	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.03
Kelsey Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.07	0.32	0.00	5	71%	0.41	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Renee Montgomery	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.06,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.28	0.01	15	53%	0.47	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Kalana Greene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kayla Pedersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mistie Bass	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.07	-0.01	15	48%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Sydney Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	0.04	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CON	WNBA	IND	CON	WNBA
this game	18.1	17.9	15.4	106.7	109.3	96.0
season	16.7	15.1		94.8	90.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		97.7	94.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	20.5	20.6	16.6	17.8	18.1
CON	14.0	18.0	19.8	17.5	17.9

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
IND	0%	53%	33%	13.7%	0.0%	46.2%	39.6%	45.0%
CON	0%	54%	39%	7.1%	0.0%	46.1%	53.7%	50.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Indiana Fever
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	8	25%	3	33%	3	83%
Jeanette Pohlen	0	0%	5	50%	2	125%	0	0%
Erlana Larkins	0	0%	3	100%	1	0%	4	50%
Erin Phillips	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jasmine Hassell	0	0%	8	25%	3	33%	0	0%
Karima Christmas	0	0%	8	69%	10	30%	1	0%
Layshia Clarendon	0	0%	5	60%	5	40%	2	0%
Fever	0	0%	39	46%	24	40%	10	45%

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Iziane Castro Marques	0	0%	7	57%	6	58%	1	0%
Kelsey Griffin	0	0%	4	50%	0	0%	1	100%
Renee Montgomery	0	0%	6	42%	8	50%	1	150%
Kalana Greene	0	0%	4	75%	6	50%	0	0%
Kayla Pedersen	0	0%	4	25%	1	0%	0	0%
Mistie Bass	0	0%	10	50%	3	67%	2	0%
Sydney Carter	0	0%	3	0%	3	67%	0	0%
Sun	0	0%	38	46%	27	54%	5	50%