WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Washington Mystics	63		Excitement	8.0 [30]		MVP	Sylvia Fowles (CHI): +52.3%
Chicago Sky	65		Comeback	207.3 [5]		LVP	Swin Cash (CHI): -28.3%

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jasmine Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monique Currie	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.16	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Natasha Lacy	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michelle Snow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Crystal Langhorne	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	43%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.05
Ashley Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	62%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dominique Canty	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Matee Ajavon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	27%	0.02	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Noelle Quinn	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.26	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	9	28%	-0.10	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Sky
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Fowles	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.52	0.52	0.06	0.44	-0.02	13	53%	0.64	3	-0.12	10	70%	-0.05
Epiphanny Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.43,0.51	0.51	0.40	0.16	0.05	17	86%	0.53	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.07
Ruth Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.06	0.06	-0.09	0.15	-0.00	7	25%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.08
Shay Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tamera Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.02	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Lecoe Willingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Vandersloot	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Swin Cash	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.28	-0.21	-0.08	-0.00	13	8%	-0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	WNBA	WAS	CHI	WNBA
this game	16.4	15.8	15.3	84.0	87.8	97.9
season	16.0	15.7		89.2	95.2
opponent	15.4	15.4		95.7	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.3	17.9	16.4	16.1	16.4
CHI	18.0	16.4	16.9	12.5	15.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
WAS	4%	70%	24%	1.9%	0.0%	51.3%	42.3%	0.0%
CHI	2%	72%	25%	1.5%	100.0%	41.5%	34.4%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Jasmine Thomas	0	0%	2	75%	1	100%	0	0%
Monique Currie	0	0%	7	86%	2	0%	0	0%
Natasha Lacy	1	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Michelle Snow	0	0%	4	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Crystal Langhorne	1	0%	10	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Ashley Robinson	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Dominique Canty	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	2	0%	3	33%	0	0%
Noelle Quinn	0	0%	4	25%	4	37%	1	0%
Mystics	2	0%	38	51%	13	42%	1	0%

Chicago Sky
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Fowles	0	0%	10	40%	2	50%	1	100%
Epiphanny Prince	1	100%	12	87%	4	87%	0	0%
Ruth Riley	0	0%	6	17%	1	0%	0	0%
Shay Murphy	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamera Young	0	0%	4	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Lecoe Willingham	0	0%	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Courtney Vandersloot	0	0%	4	25%	4	25%	0	0%
Swin Cash	0	0%	11	9%	2	0%	0	0%
Sky	1	100%	47	41%	16	34%	1	100%