WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	72		Excitement	5.3 [96]		MVP	Kristi Toliver (LAS): +41.8%
Seattle Storm	66		Comeback	180.8 [2]		LVP	Sue Bird (SEA): -14.9%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristi Toliver	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.41,0.42	0.21	0.30	0.09	16	69%	0.44	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Candace Parker	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.14	-0.05	0.14	-0.04	12	44%	0.26	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Jantel Lavender	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alana Beard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.03
Marissa Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ebony Hoffman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nneka Ogwumike	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
DeLisha Milton-Jones	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Seattle Storm
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Camille Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.13	-0.02	3	55%	0.18	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Ann Wauters	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	12	65%	0.18	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.06
Shekinna Stricklen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victoria Dunlap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ewelina Kobryn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tina Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Katie Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tanisha Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	10	41%	0.07	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Sue Bird	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.15	-0.15	0.04	-0.18	0.00	14	54%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	SEA	WNBA	LAS	SEA	WNBA
this game	12.9	16.0	15.3	86.7	79.5	97.9
season	13.9	16.1		103.6	94.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		94.2	97.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	14.3	12.1	13.3	12.1	12.9
SEA	15.7	16.5	16.0	15.8	16.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	15%	68%	14%	3.1%	60.0%	31.8%	72.2%	100.0%
SEA	18%	65%	14%	3.5%	55.0%	54.1%	50.0%	0.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristi Toliver	2	150%	9	44%	4	87%	1	100%
Candace Parker	0	0%	8	25%	3	67%	1	100%
Jantel Lavender	0	0%	8	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alana Beard	1	0%	4	25%	2	50%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	1	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Ebony Hoffman	2	50%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nneka Ogwumike	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
DeLisha Milton-Jones	0	0%	7	14%	0	0%	0	0%
Sparks	10	60%	44	32%	9	72%	2	100%

Seattle Storm
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Camille Little	0	0%	2	0%	1	100%	0	0%
Ann Wauters	3	67%	8	62%	1	100%	0	0%
Shekinna Stricklen	0	0%	2	125%	0	0%	0	0%
Victoria Dunlap	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Ewelina Kobryn	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Thompson	1	150%	9	50%	2	0%	0	0%
Katie Smith	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tanisha Wright	1	0%	8	31%	1	100%	0	0%
Sue Bird	1	100%	8	69%	3	33%	2	0%
Storm	10	55%	37	54%	8	50%	2	0%