WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	89		Excitement	13.1 [3]		MVP	Crystal Langhorne (WAS): +75.4%
Washington Mystics	91		Comeback	6.9 [47]		LVP	Anete Jekabsone-Zogota (CON): -34.2%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsay Whalen	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.07	0.21	-0.00	16	56%	0.47	3	-0.18	4	100%	0.04
Asjha Jones	0.26	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.26	0.16	0.09	0.00	15	66%	0.43	2	-0.17	5	60%	-0.04
Kerri Gardin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.19	0.00	3	83%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amber Holt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	33%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chante Black	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kiesha Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tamika Whitmore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Sandrine Gruda	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	11	36%	0.06	2	-0.15	3	33%	-0.08
Erin Phillips	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	0.00	-0.18	-0.02	8	62%	0.15	4	-0.31	5	60%	-0.05
Tan White	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	8	11%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anete Jekabsone-Zogota	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.34	-0.10	-0.24	-0.01	9	22%	-0.24	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Mystics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Crystal Langhorne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.75	0.75	0.19	0.56	0.00	13	79%	0.82	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.07
Monique Currie	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	4	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Alana Beard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	24	50%	0.48	6	-0.39	4	100%	0.07
Nakia Sanford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matee Ajavon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	64%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Bernice Mosby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chasity Melvin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marissa Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	-0.01	6	0%	-0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Harding	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.21,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.23	0.01	10	45%	0.01	5	-0.31	9	78%	0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	WAS	WNBA	CON	WAS	WNBA
this game	16.7	14.9	15.1	92.7	96.8	97.9
season	15.2	15.0		95.6	93.3
opponent	14.9	15.0		95.3	95.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	15.5	16.7	18.0	15.8	16.8
WAS	12.4	14.1	14.4	15.0	14.2

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	58%	35%	7.1%	0.0%	40.8%	48.3%	41.7%
WAS	0%	53%	36%	10.7%	0.0%	32.5%	63.0%	37.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	9	56%	6	33%	1	100%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	5	60%	8	87%	2	0%
Kerri Gardin	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	1	150%
Amber Holt	0	0%	4	0%	5	60%	0	0%
Chante Black	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiesha Brown	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamika Whitmore	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Sandrine Gruda	0	0%	8	37%	3	33%	0	0%
Erin Phillips	0	0%	6	83%	2	0%	0	0%
Tan White	0	0%	5	0%	2	0%	1	0%
Anete Jekabsone-Zogota	0	0%	6	17%	2	50%	1	0%
Sun	0	0%	49	41%	29	48%	6	42%

Washington Mystics
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Crystal Langhorne	0	0%	8	62%	4	100%	1	100%
Monique Currie	0	0%	2	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Alana Beard	0	0%	7	29%	14	57%	3	33%
Nakia Sanford	0	0%	5	40%	3	67%	1	0%
Matee Ajavon	0	0%	2	50%	1	0%	0	0%
Bernice Mosby	0	0%	2	50%	1	100%	0	0%
Chasity Melvin	0	0%	3	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Marissa Coleman	0	0%	6	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Lindsey Harding	0	0%	5	20%	2	50%	3	33%
Mystics	0	0%	40	32%	27	63%	8	37%