WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Connecticut Sun	109		Excitement	15.0 [1]		MVP	Cappie Pondexter (PHO): +63.0%
Phoenix Mercury	111		Comeback	18.5 [16]		LVP	Katie Douglas (CON): -23.3%

Connecticut Sun
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristen Rasmussen	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.35	0.10	0.26	0.01	12	71%	0.64	4	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Lindsay Whalen	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24	0.03	0.20	-0.02	8	57%	0.36	3	-0.12	5	80%	-0.02
Jamie Carey	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.01	7	86%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nykesha Sales	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	16	55%	0.38	4	-0.22	8	87%	0.03
Erika de Souza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Le'coe Willingham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Asjha Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.07	-0.03	18	55%	0.28	7	-0.34	4	100%	0.04
Evanthia Maltsi	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Katie Douglas	-0.23	0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	0.00	18	44%	-0.10	5	-0.13	3	67%	0.01

Phoenix Mercury
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cappie Pondexter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.63	0.63	0.10	0.51	-0.02	23	54%	0.76	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Penny Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.46,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53	0.53	0.30	0.25	0.02	15	77%	0.71	2	-0.17	9	89%	0.01
Tangela Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.27	0.27	0.05	0.23	0.01	16	47%	0.31	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Diana Taurasi	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	-0.00	17	46%	0.33	4	-0.23	5	60%	-0.00
Kelly Mazzante	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Lacy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Derevjanik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Belinda Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Schumacher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.04	-0.14	0.03	14	54%	0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CON	PHO	WNBA	CON	PHO	WNBA
this game	15.4	12.7	15.1	101.9	104.7	95.6
season	14.9	12.2		95.8	105.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		100.2	94.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CON	14.6	14.8	15.9	17.4	15.6
PHO	12.7	12.4	11.4	12.6	12.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
CON	0%	60%	29%	11.5%	0.0%	52.9%	56.0%	35.0%
PHO	0%	52%	40%	8.3%	0.0%	56.0%	36.8%	62.5%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Connecticut Sun
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kristen Rasmussen	0	0%	5	50%	5	90%	2	75%
Lindsay Whalen	0	0%	4	25%	3	100%	1	0%
Jamie Carey	0	0%	4	112%	3	50%	0	0%
Nykesha Sales	0	0%	11	45%	3	50%	2	50%
Erika de Souza	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Le'coe Willingham	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Asjha Jones	0	0%	11	55%	4	50%	3	33%
Evanthia Maltsi	0	0%	7	21%	0	0%	0	0%
Katie Douglas	0	0%	9	67%	7	21%	2	0%
Sun	0	0%	52	53%	25	56%	10	35%

Phoenix Mercury
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Cappie Pondexter	0	0%	11	64%	8	31%	4	75%
Penny Taylor	0	0%	9	67%	6	83%	0	0%
Tangela Smith	0	0%	8	44%	4	25%	4	50%
Diana Taurasi	0	0%	8	50%	9	39%	0	0%
Kelly Mazzante	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Lacy	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jennifer Derevjanik	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Belinda Snell	0	0%	1	0%	1	0%	0	0%
Kelly Schumacher	0	0%	2	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Kelly Miller	0	0%	9	72%	5	20%	0	0%
Mercury	0	0%	50	56%	38	37%	8	62%