WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Sacramento Monarchs	88		Excitement	9.3 [19]		MVP	Taj McWilliams-Franklin (LAS): +26.6%
Los Angeles Sparks	96		Comeback	171.4 [1]		LVP	Marta Fernandez (LAS): -18.9%

Sacramento Monarchs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chelsea Newton	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.02	-0.08	10	59%	0.19	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kara Lawson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.13	-0.04	0.02	16	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Rebekkah Brunson	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.04
Yolanda Griffith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	6	57%	0.13	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Adrian Williams-Strong	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
La'Tangela Atkinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristin Haynie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Scholanda Dorrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Nicole Powell	-0.11	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.05	-0.11	0.06	15	60%	0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Ticha Penicheiro	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.00

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.16	0.03	16	55%	0.27	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.07
Sherill Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	10	50%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.16
Sidney Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.17	0.04	19	39%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Murriel Page	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	5	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Christi Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Kiesha Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jessica Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Mwadi Mabika	0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	14	45%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
LaToya Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	7	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marta Fernandez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.16	-0.03	15	39%	-0.06	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAS	WNBA	SAC	LAS	WNBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.1	90.7	103.2	95.6
season	16.4	14.7		94.1	91.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		97.4	93.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	16.5	15.8	18.1	16.6
LAS	14.7	15.0	17.6	11.9	15.0

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
SAC	11%	64%	23%	1.4%	56.2%	55.6%	46.9%	0.0%
LAS	18%	57%	24%	1.1%	38.2%	41.5%	38.6%	100.0%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Sacramento Monarchs
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Chelsea Newton	2	0%	7	71%	1	100%	0	0%
Kara Lawson	2	0%	8	69%	5	50%	1	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	4	50%	2	50%	0	0%
Yolanda Griffith	0	0%	5	60%	1	0%	0	0%
Adrian Williams-Strong	0	0%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
La'Tangela Atkinson	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Kristin Haynie	0	0%	4	25%	0	0%	0	0%
Scholanda Dorrell	2	100%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Nicole Powell	1	150%	9	61%	5	40%	0	0%
Ticha Penicheiro	1	100%	1	0%	2	50%	0	0%
Monarchs	8	56%	45	56%	16	47%	1	0%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Taj McWilliams-Franklin	3	33%	9	56%	4	75%	0	0%
Sherill Baker	0	0%	6	50%	4	25%	0	0%
Sidney Spencer	4	75%	8	12%	6	42%	1	100%
Murriel Page	2	0%	2	100%	1	100%	0	0%
Christi Thomas	1	100%	5	60%	0	0%	0	0%
Kiesha Brown	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Jessica Moore	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mwadi Mabika	4	37%	8	37%	2	50%	0	0%
LaToya Thomas	0	0%	5	0%	2	0%	0	0%
Marta Fernandez	3	0%	9	56%	3	0%	0	0%
Sparks	17	38%	53	42%	22	39%	1	100%