WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Los Angeles Sparks	85		Excitement	13.0 [1]		MVP	Nikki Teasley (LAS): +43.8%
Sacramento Monarchs	80		Comeback	2.2 [100]		LVP	Mwadi Mabika (LAS): -21.6%

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikki Teasley	0.44	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.25,0.28,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.12	0.31	-0.01	10	70%	0.59	4	-0.15	7	71%	0.03
Lisa Leslie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	16	52%	0.21	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Tamika Whitmore	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	3	70%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.03
Doneeka Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamecka Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	38%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.06
Laura Macchi	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Teresa Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raffaella Masciadri	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mwadi Mabika	-0.22	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.34,-0.44,-0.44,-0.26,-0.31,-0.37,-0.22	-0.02	-0.15	0.04	28	39%	-0.09	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.00

Sacramento Monarchs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kara Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.28	0.28	0.17	0.13	0.02	15	62%	0.39	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.04
Ruthie Bolton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.01	10	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Rebekkah Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	46%	0.08	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Lady Grooms	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yolanda Griffith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	39%	0.15	2	-0.19	7	71%	0.03
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tangela Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	17	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMya Walker	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	16	42%	0.01	4	-0.14	6	33%	-0.11
Ticha Penicheiro	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	6	0%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAS	SAC	WNBA	LAS	SAC	WNBA
this game	15.5	18.8	17.0	97.7	90.9	93.8
season	14.9	17.5		94.5	94.4
opponent	16.6	17.3		92.8	91.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAS	18.4	13.3	15.1	13.8	15.2
SAC	20.0	18.2	19.5	17.6	18.6

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
LAS	0%	66%	25%	9.1%	0.0%	48.0%	26.3%	64.3%
SAC	0%	66%	26%	8.1%	0.0%	42.1%	38.6%	35.7%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Los Angeles Sparks
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Nikki Teasley	0	0%	5	80%	4	37%	1	150%
Lisa Leslie	0	0%	12	50%	3	33%	1	100%
Tamika Whitmore	0	0%	3	67%	0	0%	0	0%
Doneeka Lewis	0	0%	1	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tamecka Dixon	0	0%	6	33%	5	20%	1	100%
Laura Macchi	0	0%	6	42%	0	0%	0	0%
Teresa Weatherspoon	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Raffaella Masciadri	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Mwadi Mabika	0	0%	17	41%	7	21%	4	25%
Sparks	0	0%	51	48%	19	26%	7	64%

Sacramento Monarchs
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Kara Lawson	0	0%	9	83%	3	0%	3	50%
Ruthie Bolton	0	0%	7	64%	3	50%	0	0%
Rebekkah Brunson	0	0%	5	40%	1	100%	0	0%
Lady Grooms	0	0%	1	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Yolanda Griffith	0	0%	8	25%	5	40%	0	0%
Hamchetou Maiga-Ba	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Tangela Smith	0	0%	13	38%	3	33%	1	0%
DeMya Walker	0	0%	7	43%	7	43%	2	50%
Ticha Penicheiro	0	0%	5	0%	0	0%	1	0%
Monarchs	0	0%	57	42%	22	39%	7	36%