WNBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

inpredictable

WNBA Win Probability Box Scores

winProb
fourFactors
pace
clutch

Houston Comets	93		Excitement	13.6 [1]		MVP	Sheryl Swoopes (HOU): +70.5%
Portland Fire	89		Comeback	7.2 [16]		LVP	Stacey Thomas (POR): -24.2%

Houston Comets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sheryl Swoopes	0.70	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.7	0.13	0.56	-0.01	27	48%	0.70	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Janeth Arcain	0.43	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.23	0.20	0.01	8	90%	0.43	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tiffani Johnson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.16	-0.02	0.18	0.00	4	25%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jennifer Rizzotti	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tina Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	57%	0.12	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Monica Lamb	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cynthia Cooper	0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,-0.02,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	23	41%	0.15	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.08
Coquese Washington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Fire
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sylvia Crawley	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.34	0.34	-0.02	0.33	-0.03	10	58%	0.44	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Vanessa Nygaard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.00	0.29	0.00	7	41%	0.33	1	-0.04	3	0%	-0.34
Michelle Marciniak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michele Van Gorp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tully Bevilaqua	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.27	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.01
Lynn Pride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alisa Burras	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.13	0.00	12	59%	0.16	2	-0.20	8	62%	-0.06
DeMya Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sophia Witherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.19	-0.00	18	42%	-0.07	3	-0.13	9	89%	0.04
Stacey Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,0.07,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	13	39%	-0.06	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.02

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	WNBA	HOU	POR	WNBA
this game	18.4	14.9	16.7	102.2	100.0	94.8
season	17.0	16.0		106.5	89.1
opponent	16.4	16.8		95.0	89.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	19.5	21.0	15.3	18.9	18.9
POR	12.2	12.1	19.3	16.9	14.8

Clutch Shooting Report

	Shot Distribution				Effective FG%
	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²	Garbage	Normal	Clutch	Clutch²
HOU	0%	65%	22%	13.4%	0.0%	42.5%	47.2%	54.5%
POR	0%	58%	30%	11.7%	0.0%	44.4%	45.7%	44.4%
average	15%	73%	11%	1.0%	46.4%	46.6%	45.9%	37.5%

Clutch Shooting Boxscore

Houston Comets
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sheryl Swoopes	0	0%	12	25%	10	60%	5	60%
Janeth Arcain	0	0%	7	79%	1	150%	0	0%
Tiffani Johnson	0	0%	2	0%	1	0%	1	100%
Jennifer Rizzotti	0	0%	4	37%	0	0%	0	0%
Tina Thompson	0	0%	11	59%	2	50%	1	0%
Monica Lamb	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Cynthia Cooper	0	0%	15	33%	4	0%	4	50%
Coquese Washington	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Comets	0	0%	53	42%	18	47%	11	55%

Portland Fire
Player	Garbage		Normal		Clutch		Clutch²
Player	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%	FGA	eFG%
Sylvia Crawley	0	0%	3	0%	6	67%	1	100%
Vanessa Nygaard	0	0%	5	20%	1	150%	1	100%
Michelle Marciniak	0	0%	3	83%	3	33%	0	0%
Michele Van Gorp	0	0%	2	100%	0	0%	0	0%
Tully Bevilaqua	0	0%	3	33%	1	0%	1	100%
Lynn Pride	0	0%	2	50%	0	0%	0	0%
Alisa Burras	0	0%	9	56%	2	100%	1	0%
DeMya Walker	0	0%	2	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Sophia Witherspoon	0	0%	10	45%	7	14%	1	0%
Stacey Thomas	0	0%	6	50%	3	33%	4	25%
Fire	0	0%	45	44%	23	46%	9	44%